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2005-05-21 11:47:44
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urgent - immediate broadcast requested Tornado Watch number 798 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 755 PM EDT Sat Sep 4 2004
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and northern Florida Peninsula coastal waters
Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 755 PM until 800 am EDT.
Tornadoes... hail to 0.5 inch in diameter... thunderstorm wind gusts to 70 mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these areas.
The Tornado Watch area is along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Gainesville Florida to 50 miles south of Avon Park Florida.
Remember... a Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
Discussion... radar trends suggest an increase in cellular convective activity off the East Coast of FL peninsula... north of eye of Hurricane Frances. Very strong vertical shear profiles are in place throughout the peninsula... suggesting that threat of isolated tornadoes will increase overnight as Frances makes landfall.
Aviation... tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 07040.
... Hart
;295,0810 265,0800 265,0823 295,0834;
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Expires 4:30 AM EDT on September 05, 2004
Statement as of 5:55 PM EDT on September 4, 2004
... Eye Wall brushing northeast Palm Beach coast...
... Areas affected... this statement applies to persons in Palm Beach... Broward... Miami-Dade... Collier... Hendry... Glades and Mainland Monroe counties.
... Watches and warnings... a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Southeast Florida coast and Lake Okeechobee... including Metro Palm Beach... Broward and Miami-Dade.
An inland hurricane wind warning remains in effect for all inland South Florida counties.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southwest Florida Gulf Coast from Bonita Beach southward to south of Florida City.
A Flood Watch is in effect for all South Florida counties.
... Storm information... at 5 PM EDT... the center of Hurricane Frances was located near latitude 26.9 north... longitude 79.3 west. This location is about 50 miles east northeast of West Palm Beach. Frances has been nearly stationary during the past several hours but is expected to resume a west northwest track at 5 mph. Frances is expected to move across the Florida East Coast tonight. Frances is a strong category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible before landfall.
... Precautionary/preparedness actions... winds near or above hurricane force along with torrential rain will likely affect the northeast Palm Beach County through much of tonight. Across the remainder of Palm Beach and over Broward and Miami-Dade counties... winds will be of tropical storm force. Evacuation orders for South Florida counties remain in effect. A curfew will be in effect for Hendry and Glades counties from 8 PM tonight to 7 am Sunday.
... Storm surge flood and storm tide impacts... it now appears that the very large center of Frances will slowly cross the East Coast of Florida from around Jupiter Inlet northward. Winds along the East Coast of South Florida are already north to northwest in Palm Beach County and northwest to west in Broward and Miami-Dade. This means that the winds affecting the Metro southeast coast are parallel to shore or offshore and will remain that way as Frances comes onshore. Thus the threat for additional significant storm surge along the Atlantic coast of South Florida has passed.
Lake Okeechobee is already being affected by the strong winds associated with Frances. At 5 PM EDT winds across the lake were around 35 to 40 mph sustained with gusts as high as 70 mph. Consequently the lake at 5 PM was about 15.1 feet above mean sea level on the south end and was around 11.1 feet above mean sea level on the north end... a difference of about 4 feet. As Frances continues to move onshore... the northerly winds will push the water as high as 18 to 20 feet above mean sea level this evening on the lake side of the dike in Glades... Hendry... and western Palm Beach counties. This would affect areas from Clewiston all the way around to the town of Okeechobee including Moore Haven... Clewiston... South Bay... Belle Glade... Pahokee and Port Mayaca. The Hoover Dike protects inhabited areas to at least 30 feet above mean sea level. Ritta... Kreamer and Torry islands would be flooded at these levels including some campgrounds and roads. The highest water will be along the south end of the lake... from Clewiston to Belle Glade... this evening but will move to the Eastern Shore as the wind backs around to the west by Sunday morning and then finally around to the north end of the lake by Sunday afternoon as the wind backs around to the southwest and south.
For the southwest Florida coast... maximum storm tide is expected to be around 4 feet above mean sea level along the Ten Thousand Islands of Mainland Monroe County and the Chokoloskee and Everglades City areas of Collier County during the predawn hours Sunday. This could flood parts of State Road 29 between Tamiami Trail and Chokoloskee. From Marco Island north to Naples and Bonita Beach the maximum storm tide is expected to be from 3 to 4 feet above mean sea level. High tide for the Naples area will be around 430 am Sunday.
... Wind impacts... at 5 PM... wind gusts at Palm Beach International Airport reached 63 mph. At fowey rocks light... just south of Key Biscayne... a wind gust of 76 mph was observed at 5 PM. Over northeast Palm Beach County... winds will be near or above hurricane force... 74 mph... through much of tonight.
Winds across most of the remainder of Southeast Florida Metro areas are ranging from 25 to 35 mph with gusts as high as 55 mph. Sustained tropical force winds above 40 mph will gradually spread across the Southeast Florida Metro areas this afternoon with gusts near hurricane force... particularly in squalls. According to Doppler radar estimates winds of tropical storm force are occurring in eastern portions of Hendry and Glades counties.
Winds have caused many trees to uproot or blow down causing massive power outages. Almost half a million /495000/ customers are without power in Palm Beach County... one quarter of a million /242000/ customers are without power in Broward County... and 88000 customers are without power in Miami-Dade County. Four houses had roofs blown off in Glades County where 2000 customers were without power at 5 PM. In Hendry County 1500 customers were without power and minor building damage was reported in Clewiston. The winds may also blow down traffic lights and signs... making driving even more hazardous.
... Local marine impacts... hurricane winds are occurring in the Palm Beach Atlantic coastal waters and hurricane winds will spread across much of Lake Okeechobee this evening. The winds will decrease below hurricane force on Sunday morning. Tropical storm force winds with some gusts to hurricane force are occurring over the Broward and Miami-Dade coastal waters... including Biscayne Bay... and are forecast to decrease early Sunday.
Strong southwest winds will result in dangerous surf and rip currents on the southwest Florida coast.
... Local flood impacts... Doppler radar estimates rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches. West Palm Beach has measured 2.65 inches of rain... a record for the date. So far... most areas have received less than one inch of rain but the slow movement of Frances means that rainfall could still be very heavy tonight and Sunday. A Flood Watch remains in effect.
Forecasted storm total rainfall amounts through Sunday in Palm Beach County could reach up to 8 to 10 inches with local amounts as high as 12 inches... especially in areas closest to where Frances crosses the coastline. In Glades and Hendry counties... maximum rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible. From 2 to 6 inches are possible across the rest of South Florida.
... Local tornado impacts... there is a chance of tornadoes in some of the rainbands... mainly over interior and southwest Florida this evening and tonight.
... Next update... the next regularly scheduled Hurricane Frances local statement will be issued around midnight.
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Expires 1:00 PM EDT on September 05, 2004
Statement as of 5:43 PM EDT on September 4, 2004
... The Flood Watch remains in effect for the areas of... Hendry... Glades... Palm Beach... Collier... Broward... Mainland Monroe and Miami-Dade until 800 PM EDT Sunday evening...
At 545 PM National Weather Service Doppler radar estimates that 1.5 to 2.0 inches of rain has fallen in the Metro areas of Palm Beach County over the past 24 hours. West Palm Beach international Airport broke a daily rainfall record with 2.65 inches. The old record was 2.39 inches set back in 1945.
For the rest of the East Coast Metro areas... rainfall amounts between a quarter of an inch over South Miami-Dade County to a little over 1 inch over northern Broward County has fallen in the last 24 hours.
Rainfall amounts between a tenth to half an inch has occurred over the rest of South Florida in the last 24 hours.
At 5 PM EDT... the large eye of Hurricane Frances was located by radar and surface observations near latitude 26.9 north... longitude 79.3 west or about 50 miles east northeast of Palm Beach Florida. Frances has been nearly stationary for the past several hours... but the hurricane should begin to move between the west... and west northwest near 5 mph soon.
Past hurricanes that have slowed to speeds less than 10 knots as they approached a landfall have produced in excess of 20 inches of rain. Hurricane Danny in 1997 produced over 30 inches of rain at Dauphin Island as he stalled near mobile Bay Alabama.
Forecast storm total rainfall amounts through Sunday in Palm Beach County could reach up to 8 to 10 inches with local amounts as high as 12 inches... especially in areas closer to where Frances crosses the coastline. In Glades and Hendry counties... maximum rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible. From 2 to 6 inches are possible across the rest of South Florida.
There is still uncertainty as to the exact timing and location of the landfall of Frances. Even minor deviations southward in the track... or changes in the speed of advance... can make a big difference in the amount of rainfall that occurs over South Florida.
A Flood Watch means the threat of flooding exists within the watch area. Persons in and near the affected area should monitor NOAA Weather Radio and local television and radio. Be ready to take quick action if flooding is observed or a Flood Warning is issued.
Any travel is strongly discouraged. If you leave the safety of being indoors, you are putting your life at risk.
During a Flood Watch, have a plan to deal with possible flooding. If you live in a highly flood-prone area take precautions to protect property including having sand bags on hand and moving your vehicle to a less flood-prone area. Heed the advise of local officials and evacuate if asked.
For additional information visit the Miami National Weather Service website at miamiweather.Info. For information in Spanish, visit our website at eltiempoenmiami.Info.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further details or updates.
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Statement as of 05:32 PM EDT on September 04, 2004
... Record daily maximum rainfall set at W Palm Beach ASOS...
a record rainfall of 2.65 inch(es) was set at W Palm Beach ASOS today. This breaks the old record of 2.39 set in 1945.
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09/03/2004 0330 PM
Boca Raton, Palm Beach County.
Non-thunderstorm wind gust 58 mph, reported by trained spotter.
09/04/2004 0540 PM
West Palm Beach, Palm Beach County.
Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by utility company.
495,000 customers without power across Palm Beach County.
09/04/2004 0235 PM
Delray Beach, Palm Beach County.
Hurricane, reported by public.
Wind gust to 60 mph reported by public.
09/04/2004 0130 PM
Boynton Beach, Palm Beach County.
Hurricane, reported by trained spotter.
Wind gust to 77 mph reported by spotter 48.
09/04/2004 0120 PM
Boynton Beach, Palm Beach County.
Hurricane, reported by amateur radio.
Winds 70 mph sustained gusts to 90 mph.
09/04/2004 1130 am
Jupiter, Palm Beach County.
Hurricane, reported by newspaper.
91 mph wind gust. Time is estimated.
09/04/2004 1255 PM
Jupiter, Palm Beach County.
Non-thunderstorm wind gust 90 mph, reported by law enforcement.
Jupiter pd measured wind sustained 80 mph, gusting 90 mph 1-1/2 mi inland from the beach
09/04/2004 0123 PM
Boynton Beach, Palm Beach County.
Non-thunderstorm wind gust 77 mph, reported by trained spotter.
Skywarn spotter reported a peak wind gust of 77 mph.
09/04/2004 1211 PM
West Palm Beach, Palm Beach County.
Non-thunderstorm wind gust 71 mph, reported by official NWS obs.
Official NWS observation at kpbi
09/04/2004 1020 am
Boynton Beach, Palm Beach County.
Non-thunderstorm wind gust 70 mph, reported by trained spotter.
Measured gust
09/04/2004 0950 am
Boca Raton, Palm Beach County.
Thunderstorm wind gust, reported by trained spotter.
Steady gale force winds with frequent gusts to 80 mph
09/04/2004 0900 am
Jupiter, Palm Beach County.
Hurricane, reported by mesonet.
Wind gust of 91 mph reported at Jupiter Inlet.
09/04/2004 0807 am
Jupiter, Palm Beach County.
Hurricane, reported by mesonet.
Wind gust of 87 mph at Jupiter Inlet.
09/04/2004 0110 am
Riviera Beach, Palm Beach County.
Tropical storm, reported by public.
Public reported wind 75 mph wind gust, Riviera Beach, West Palm Beach Lane and Dixie Highway
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